- Usage data: OpenAI/Harvard research (Sep 2025) reports 2.5 billion ChatGPT prompts per day, 24% classified as information-seeking → ~600 million searches/day, vs Google’s ~14 billion → 4.3%.
- Referral traffic adjusted for CTR: Google converts ~40% of searches to external clicks; AI-answer surfaces convert ~5% (iPullrank measured 3.8–5.4% for Google AI Mode; Semrush ~3–7%). Re-basing the Ahrefs click ratio on those CTRs yields 4.6%, or up to 12% if ChatGPT’s CTR is as low as 2%.
ChatGPT vs Google — the real search market share
Peec’s two-method estimate (Oct 2025) puts ChatGPT at 4–12% of Google’s search volume — roughly 600 million searches per day — far above the 0.6% suggested by click data alone.
ChatGPT’s real search volume is roughly 4–12% of Google’s — far more than click data suggests. Peec’s analysis (full study, Oct 2025) corrects the widely quoted 0.6% figure from Ahrefs click data, which undercounts ChatGPT because ChatGPT answers directly and rarely needs a click, while Google’s blue links demand them.
Two independent methods converge:
